感觉 Trump 不太是那种会为几十万刀喊单的人😳 所以内幕交易的证据不足。

但是 $PLTR 确实有封印松动的迹象。VIBE在增强，下周软件股板块轮动可能会继续。unusual_whales: BREAKING: Trump purchased up to $630,000 worth of Palantir, $PLTR, during the first three months of the year.

In March alone, Trump made at least seven purchases of Palantir totalling as much as $530,000.

A month later, Trump literally wrote on TruthSocial: “Palantir

Renaissance Technologies (founded by Jim Simons) Q1 2026 13F

買入最多的股票：
$AAPL：+7.81 億美元
$NVDA：+2.78 億美元
$LIN：+2.58 億美元
$AVGO：+2.45 億美元
$AGI：+2.27 億美元
$JPM：+2.02 億美元

賣出最多的股票（約）：
$NFLX：-6.73 億美元
$PLTR：-5.42 億美元
$TSLA：-5.34 億美元
$PG：-4.28 億美元
$COST：-5.78 億美元
$MSFT：-3.29億美元
看來他們正在轉向大型科技股、能源股和黃金股，同時減持消費股和動量股。

A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY.

Here's a full recap:

1. $CBRS Cerebras opened about 75% above its expected IPO price of $185, giving the AI chip company a roughly $100B market cap despite generating $585M in revenue last year. Ark Invest also bought 105,616 shares just one day after the IPO, adding more attention to the name. The momentum is set to continue with LeverageShares launching a 2x leveraged Cerebras ETF tomorrow morning.

2. President Trump submitted his latest stock purchase and sale disclosures to the White House Office of Ethics, with the filing reportedly spanning more than 100 pages and including thousands of trades. The disclosure is notable because it shows a sitting president actively trading individual securities rather than only holding assets like corporate debt, index funds, or Treasuries. Some of the names listed as purchases include $PLTR, $HOOD, $NVDA, $SOFI, $MSFT, $AAPL, $DIS, $V, $ULTA, $JPM, $COIN, $LYFT, $AMZN, and $RKLB.

3. The U.S. has approved around 10 Chinese companies to purchase Nvidia’s $NVDA H200, the company’s second-most powerful AI chip. Nvidia hit an all time high at $240 today.

4.Figure AI has been livestreaming its humanoid robots performing real warehouse-style package sorting tasks using its Helix-02 AI system. The robots pick up, scan, rotate, and place packages onto conveyor belts autonomously while operating for extremely long periods, including a reported 24/7 run after initially targeting an 8-hour shift. The livestream is meant to prove that humanoid robots can handle repetitive labor reliably and economically, rather than just perform flashy demos. Many viewers see it as one of the first convincing demonstrations of commercially viable humanoid labor, especially for warehouses and logistics. The robot has so far dealt with 34K packages live and has reached parity with a human worker that can do 3 every second.

5. The most traded stocks in the options market today were $NVDA with 5.0M contracts, $TSLA with 2.5M, $NOK with 889K, $F with 860K, $ONDS with 849K, $INTC with 814K, $AAPL with 752K, $MSFT with 736K, $MSTR with 670K, and $MU with 644K.

6. Semiconductor leverage flows surged, with $SOXL, the 3x long semiconductor ETF, taking in a record $1.03B on Tuesday. At the same time, $SOXS, the 3x short semiconductor ETF, saw $230M of outflows, its largest daily withdrawal since late March. $TQQQ also added $161M, its biggest inflow since March 31, but $SOXL inflows were more than 6x larger as traders concentrated bullish exposure in semiconductors. Since the March 30 bottom, $SOXL is up 354%, its strongest 31-day gain since launching in 2010, while the $SOX semiconductor index is up 68%, its third-best 31-day run on record.

7. Retail investors are buying stocks at one of the fastest paces in years. Year-to-date retail equity inflows are ahead of every comparable period over the last seven years except 2021, and after slowing briefly in March, retail buying jumped sharply in April. The week ending May 1 ranked in the top 2% of weekly retail inflows since 2019, and at the current pace, individual investor purchases could surpass the 2021 record as soon as July. Retail options activity is also elevated, with average daily volume now at 1.57x January 2024 levels, the highest since the October 2025 peak.

8. SpaceX could release its IPO prospectus as soon as next week, according to CNBC, after confidentially filing in April. The company’s roadshow is expected to start June 8, with SpaceX reportedly targeting one of the largest public offerings ever following its merger with xAI at a combined $1.25T valuation. The IPO could raise around $70B-$75B, which would be more than twice the size of Saudi Aramco’s record 2019 listing.

9. AI data center demand is putting pressure on power costs across PJM, the largest U.S. grid, which serves 67M people across 13 states and Washington, D.C. Wholesale power prices averaged $136.53/MWh in Q1 2026, up 75.5% from $77.78/MWh a year ago. Capacity costs rose 398.1% year-over-year, while congestion costs increased 300.4% to $2B.

10. Tech layoffs have now passed 100,000 in 2026, with TNW reporting cuts across roughly 250 events this year. LinkedIn is reducing headcount by about 5% despite 12% revenue growth, while Cloudflare is cutting more than 1,100 roles, or about 20% of its workforce. AI is becoming a major driver of the reset, with Challenger citing it as the top reason for job cuts in both March and April and linking AI to 49,135 announced layoffs so far this year.

11. President Trump said President Xi told him China will not supply military equipment to Iran and supports a peace agreement. Trump also said Xi offered to help mediate the situation and work toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping route for global oil flows.

12. The CLARITY Act advanced out of the Senate Banking Committee today in a 15-9 bipartisan vote. The bill would create clearer federal rules for crypto, including when tokens are treated as securities versus commodities. Crypto stocks rallied on the news, including Coinbase, as investors viewed it as a major step toward regulatory certainty. The bill still is not law and needs full Senate approval, House reconciliation, and final passage. The main fights now are over stablecoin rewards, anti-money-laundering rules, and ethics concerns tied to political figures profiting from crypto. $BTC Bitcoin passed $81,000.

WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

PRESIDENT TRUMP JUST SUBMITTED HIS STOCK PURCHASES/SALES TO THE WHITE HOUSE OFFICE OF ETHICS.

The document is over 100 pages and has thousands of trades.

This is one of the first times we've seen a sitting President actively trade securities and not just sit in corporate debt, index funds, or treasuries.

Here are some of the names that Trump bought:

$PLTR, $HOOD, $NVDA, $SOFI, $MSFT, $AAPL, $DIS, $V, $ULTA, $JPM, $COIN, $LYFT, $AMZN.

👀 $ONDS earnings sneak peak.

Fantastic findings from @YoYInvestor.

Sleuth 🔎: $ONDS ‘TWAS THE NIGHT BEFORE EARNINGS…. 🌙🎈👀

World ViewCEO Ryan Hartman just published a strategic article on the company website, just one day before Q1 earnings 🤔

The article discusses SkyWeaver, an edge inference platform being developed on top of $PLTR Artificial

A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY.

Here's a full recap:

1. Stocks opened lower today as investors reacted to hotter inflation, rising oil prices, and renewed concerns around interest rates. The selloff was led by tech, AI, and semiconductor names, but the market recovered some of the early weakness into the close as buyers stepped back into select mega-cap and earnings-driven stocks. The S&P 500 $SPX still finished slightly lower, the Nasdaq $QQQ underperformed, and the Dow managed to close slightly higher, showing that the early risk-off move faded but did not fully reverse across the whole market.

2. The probability of the Fed raising interest rates in 2026 has surged to a new high of 31% after U.S. CPI inflation hit its highest level in three years. Just a few months ago, markets were pricing in more than three rate cuts this year, but those cuts have now been completely priced out. Headline CPI rose 3.8% versus 3.6% expected, marking the hottest inflation print since May 2023, while core CPI rose 2.8% versus 2.6% expected, the highest reading since September 2025. Energy was the biggest driver, accounting for more than 40% of the increase.

3. $CME CME Group is partnering with Silicon Data to launch the first futures market tied to compute, pending regulatory approval. The contracts are expected later this year and will be based on Silicon Data’s GPU market intelligence indices, giving traders, AI builders, cloud providers, and financial institutions a way to hedge price volatility in the fast-growing compute market.

4. Cerebras is reportedly seeing very strong IPO demand and has raised its planned range to $150-$160 per share, up from $115-$125, while increasing the offering to 30 million shares. At the high end, the company could raise about $4.8B and be valued around $35B, with pricing expected on May 13 and a Nasdaq listing under $CBRS. The IPO story is being driven by AI compute demand, Cerebras’ OpenAI relationship, and reports that the deal is more than 20x oversubscribed. The IPO will be this Thursday.

5. The top 10 most traded stocks in the options market were $NVDA with 3.6M contracts, $TSLA with 3.0M, $MU with 1.0M, $INTC with 999K, $AAPL with 829K, $AMZN with 528K, $NOK with 499K, $NFLX with 494K, $MSFT with 451K, and $AMD with 436K.

6. OpenAI reportedly renegotiated its $MSFT Microsoft agreement to limit total revenue-share payments to $38B, far below the roughly $135B Microsoft could have received under the prior structure if OpenAI hit its long-term revenue targets. The change could reduce OpenAI’s payments by about $97B through 2030, giving the company a cleaner long-term financial profile ahead of a potential IPO. The trade-off is that OpenAI may have to pay more in the near term, reportedly around $6B of its projected $30B in revenue this year instead of the roughly $4B it previously expected, while Microsoft keeps payment rights through 2030 and resale rights through 2032.

7. $DRAM became the fastest ETF ever to reach $6.5B in assets, hitting that mark in just 36 days, even faster than $IBIT, which took 43 days. The move came after a 13% jump on Friday and another $1B of inflows, showing how aggressively investors are chasing the memory trade. $MU also got a major vote of confidence as Deutsche Bank raised its price target to $1,000 after investor meetings with Micron management. The key takeaway was that AI is changing the memory cycle: DRAM, NAND, and HBM are becoming essential to AI performance, while supply remains constrained by clean room limitations, slower scaling, and HBM production trade-offs. Deutsche Bank said Micron is well-positioned because of its technology leadership, stronger business mix, and one of the healthiest balance sheets in company history.

8. $GOOGL Google is reportedly exploring SpaceX as a launch partner for future AI data centers in orbit, while also speaking with other rocket companies. The effort connects to Google’s Project Suncatcher, which is already planning to launch two prototype satellites with Planet by early 2027 to test solar-powered AI compute in space using TPUs and optical links. SpaceX is pursuing a similar orbital data center strategy, meaning the two companies could eventually work together on launches while competing to own the space-based compute market.

9. Market breadth is weakening even as the headline index keeps rising. Only 22% of S&P 500 stocks have beaten the index over the last 30 days, one of the weakest readings since 1996 and a sharp drop from 65% in February. The rally is increasingly concentrated in mega-cap tech, with the Magnificent 7 now making up about 35% of the S&P 500 and Information Technology plus Communication Services representing 46% of the index’s market value.

10. Anthropic is reportedly discussing a massive new funding round of at least $30B at a valuation above $900B, with Bloomberg saying the deal could close by the end of May, though no term sheet has been signed yet. Existing investors may participate, following recent commitments from Google and Amazon tied to a prior $350B valuation. The potential raise would mark a huge jump from Anthropic’s February 2026 valuation and place it near OpenAI’s latest reported valuation, as the Claude maker also reportedly considers an IPO as soon as October.

11. $PLTR Palantir was back in the defense AI spotlight after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky met with CEO Alex Karp in Kyiv to discuss expanding Ukraine’s use of AI in the war. Zelensky said the two sides discussed technology for both battlefield and civilian needs, while Ukraine’s defense team highlighted Palantir’s role in helping analyze air strikes, manage intelligence data, protect Ukrainian skies, and support AI tools for detecting and intercepting Russian drones. Palantir is also tied to the U.S. “Golden Dome” missile-defense push, with Reuters reporting that Palantir and Anduril are working on software for the system.

12. President Trump today said this before leaving for his trip to China: "You're going to see oil prices drop and you're going to see a stock market which is already at the highest point in history, go through the roof."

WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

The $OSCR non-believers said:

“But Ronnie the opportunity cost”

“What about ACA subsidies”

“The CEO talked about stock price”

“Health insurance is boring”

“They can’t compete”

“He didn’t actually buy shares”

BLAH BLAH BLAH

If I let others opinions dictate my conviction I would have missed $TSLA $NVDA $PLTR and so many more.

BREAKING: Michael Burry is betting ~$1B against AI

Palantir and Nvidia are the big ones

13F shows short exposure:

- $PLTR: ~$912M
- $NVDA: ~$187M

he called the housing crash before everyone else

made ~$100M personally and $700M+ for investors

now he’s shorting the AI trade

what does he know? 👀

BREAKING: Michael Burry is reportedly sitting on a massive AI short

$PLTR and $NVDA are the big ones

reported notional put exposure:

- $PLTR: ~$912M
- $NVDA: ~$187M

he called the housing crash before everyone else

made ~$100M personally and $700M+ for investors

now he’s betting against the AI trade

what does he know? 👀

Software stocks today:

$NOW +5.7%
$DDOG +28.2%
$IGV +3.6%
$ADBE +2.8%
$MSFT +2.4%
$PLTR +2.7%
$MSFT +2.8%
$CRM +3.2%

Semiconductor stocks today:

$MU -3.8%
$SNDK -7.1%
$AAOI -14%
$INTC -2.8%
$ARM -10%
$AMD -3.7%
$SMH -1.9%

I think everyone is really waiting for a Semis to Software rotation, but I’m not sure we easily get one…

Do I think software is cheap? Yes. The software names like $PLTR $APP $DDOG also proved great earnings.

Are the semiconductor names overextended? I mean, look at the charts. However, their earnings have also been INCREDIBLE.

It doesn’t feel YET like the market can have $SMH and $IGV rally together, I think the only reason $IGV is up is because $SMH is down.

But if they were to rally together…it would probably be net new capital coming into the broader market vs people selling their semis to buy software or selling software to buy semis.

Just one day, likely need much more data to see if a rotation is happening…

Are you buying software over semis here? Rotating? Adding on dips?

$PLTR

Palantir just put up one of the strongest earnings we have seen throughout the entire stock market. The level of growth across core metrics that the street did not expect to grow and the ability to do it in the face of the narrative that software companies have no terminal value is what makes this quarter so incredible.

Revenue accelerated 85% YoY against expectations of 74%. They raised the FY guide from 61% to 71%. They did more FCF this quarter than they did in revenue in Q1 last year.

They did this with a salesforce of around 70 people...most software companies at their scale have 100x that amount of dedicated staff working on sales, so how are they able to grow this fast? How is Alex Karp so easily able to guide that they will accelerate to 100% growth in 2027?

Palantir is actually doing what software companies have promised to do, but as of recent have failed to materialize: providing value that transforms an enterprise.

A quote from Shyam, CTO, last night:

"More tokens means more slop. And the more commodity cognition you consume, the more you need a system that can prevent the economic harm so you can harness the economic value. That system is AIP. That intermediary representation is the ontology. This is also why we are seeing the death of legacy software. AIP replaces static workflows not by replicating the playbook but by eliminating the need for one."

Palantir is acknowledging that traditional legacy software is dead in the age of AI, but the orchestration of providing business value to ground the truth of the organization within the representation of how that value is constructed (the ontology, what they spent 20 years building) is the defining factor to make AI meaningful.

The results prove this. How is a company doing almost 2B in revenue with just 1000 customers? Their net dollar retention has now passed 150%, which means their customers are choosing to spend more with them because they are getting more value. Imagine what happens when Palantir is at 10,000 and 100,000 customers. This can be one of the biggest companies on Planet Earth as everytime they get a customer, they provide so much value, that the customers locks in and stays with them and pays them more and Palantir is able to create an incredible margin (53% net income) on every dollar the generate because they don't need to pay all the people in the middle, like a salesforce, to generate that revenue.

The company increased their FY guide to 7.6B. Alex Karp said he wants to grow that 100% in 2027. That would put the company at around 15B. If they beat that estimate, we could be even higher. The debate right now is purely around one thing: the sustainability of this type of growth. If you think it is sustainable, you are bullish. If not, you are bearish.

Palantir can't control everything that happens in the macro or the market but they can control how fast they can grow. These earnings make it very, very obvious to me that they will not only sustainably grow, but they will continue to accelerate that growth because their customers are continuing to ask for more from them and as they continue to deliver, they continue to see the benefits of bringing value to enterprises and governments across the world.

Incredibly proud to be on the journey of covering them and I know how special this quarter must have been for those of us who saw the company grow up in front of our eyes over the past few years.

LFG.