大热板块中的二三线股票，表现往往好过冷门板块中的一线股票。

$IONQ $RGTI 于去年九月带领量子板块率先启动。随后该板块中存在感较低的股票也开始跟随大幅上涨，比如 $QUBT $LAES $QMCO

$MRVL $INTC 于今年三月底市场大跌后带领半导体板块反弹。随后该板块中业绩一般的股票也开始跟随大幅上涨，比如 $ON $NVTS $WOLF

近期 $RKLB 用一份几乎完美的 Q1 财报，配合 SpaceX 上市预期点燃的情绪面，带领太空板块率先启动。

如果这个逻辑继续成立，太空板块接下来值得重点关注的可能就不只是 $RKLB，而是整个板块的扩散机会。比如尚未充分启动的 $FLY $ASTS $LUNR

Sector before setup.

SPACEX UPDATES:

- Ticker will be $SPCX

- IPO coming likely June 12th

- Company is focused on expanding retail coverage to international brokerages, not just US based ones

- Looking to raise $80B at around a $2T valuation

Are you a buyer?

I think many other names will be proxies and we are already seeing this with momentum in names like $RKLB.

It’s going to be a historic IPO, question will be where the liquidity comes for it…

A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY.

Here's a full recap:

1. $CBRS Cerebras opened about 75% above its expected IPO price of $185, giving the AI chip company a roughly $100B market cap despite generating $585M in revenue last year. Ark Invest also bought 105,616 shares just one day after the IPO, adding more attention to the name. The momentum is set to continue with LeverageShares launching a 2x leveraged Cerebras ETF tomorrow morning.

2. President Trump submitted his latest stock purchase and sale disclosures to the White House Office of Ethics, with the filing reportedly spanning more than 100 pages and including thousands of trades. The disclosure is notable because it shows a sitting president actively trading individual securities rather than only holding assets like corporate debt, index funds, or Treasuries. Some of the names listed as purchases include $PLTR, $HOOD, $NVDA, $SOFI, $MSFT, $AAPL, $DIS, $V, $ULTA, $JPM, $COIN, $LYFT, $AMZN, and $RKLB.

3. The U.S. has approved around 10 Chinese companies to purchase Nvidia’s $NVDA H200, the company’s second-most powerful AI chip. Nvidia hit an all time high at $240 today.

4.Figure AI has been livestreaming its humanoid robots performing real warehouse-style package sorting tasks using its Helix-02 AI system. The robots pick up, scan, rotate, and place packages onto conveyor belts autonomously while operating for extremely long periods, including a reported 24/7 run after initially targeting an 8-hour shift. The livestream is meant to prove that humanoid robots can handle repetitive labor reliably and economically, rather than just perform flashy demos. Many viewers see it as one of the first convincing demonstrations of commercially viable humanoid labor, especially for warehouses and logistics. The robot has so far dealt with 34K packages live and has reached parity with a human worker that can do 3 every second.

5. The most traded stocks in the options market today were $NVDA with 5.0M contracts, $TSLA with 2.5M, $NOK with 889K, $F with 860K, $ONDS with 849K, $INTC with 814K, $AAPL with 752K, $MSFT with 736K, $MSTR with 670K, and $MU with 644K.

6. Semiconductor leverage flows surged, with $SOXL, the 3x long semiconductor ETF, taking in a record $1.03B on Tuesday. At the same time, $SOXS, the 3x short semiconductor ETF, saw $230M of outflows, its largest daily withdrawal since late March. $TQQQ also added $161M, its biggest inflow since March 31, but $SOXL inflows were more than 6x larger as traders concentrated bullish exposure in semiconductors. Since the March 30 bottom, $SOXL is up 354%, its strongest 31-day gain since launching in 2010, while the $SOX semiconductor index is up 68%, its third-best 31-day run on record.

7. Retail investors are buying stocks at one of the fastest paces in years. Year-to-date retail equity inflows are ahead of every comparable period over the last seven years except 2021, and after slowing briefly in March, retail buying jumped sharply in April. The week ending May 1 ranked in the top 2% of weekly retail inflows since 2019, and at the current pace, individual investor purchases could surpass the 2021 record as soon as July. Retail options activity is also elevated, with average daily volume now at 1.57x January 2024 levels, the highest since the October 2025 peak.

8. SpaceX could release its IPO prospectus as soon as next week, according to CNBC, after confidentially filing in April. The company’s roadshow is expected to start June 8, with SpaceX reportedly targeting one of the largest public offerings ever following its merger with xAI at a combined $1.25T valuation. The IPO could raise around $70B-$75B, which would be more than twice the size of Saudi Aramco’s record 2019 listing.

9. AI data center demand is putting pressure on power costs across PJM, the largest U.S. grid, which serves 67M people across 13 states and Washington, D.C. Wholesale power prices averaged $136.53/MWh in Q1 2026, up 75.5% from $77.78/MWh a year ago. Capacity costs rose 398.1% year-over-year, while congestion costs increased 300.4% to $2B.

10. Tech layoffs have now passed 100,000 in 2026, with TNW reporting cuts across roughly 250 events this year. LinkedIn is reducing headcount by about 5% despite 12% revenue growth, while Cloudflare is cutting more than 1,100 roles, or about 20% of its workforce. AI is becoming a major driver of the reset, with Challenger citing it as the top reason for job cuts in both March and April and linking AI to 49,135 announced layoffs so far this year.

11. President Trump said President Xi told him China will not supply military equipment to Iran and supports a peace agreement. Trump also said Xi offered to help mediate the situation and work toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping route for global oil flows.

12. The CLARITY Act advanced out of the Senate Banking Committee today in a 15-9 bipartisan vote. The bill would create clearer federal rules for crypto, including when tokens are treated as securities versus commodities. Crypto stocks rallied on the news, including Coinbase, as investors viewed it as a major step toward regulatory certainty. The bill still is not law and needs full Senate approval, House reconciliation, and final passage. The main fights now are over stablecoin rewards, anti-money-laundering rules, and ethics concerns tied to political figures profiting from crypto. $BTC Bitcoin passed $81,000.

WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

最快到下周 SpaceX就会宣布IPO的具体日期和细节。

🥹 $RKLB $ASTS 的下一波机会

对 $TSLA 就不知道是福是祸了。

Wall St Engine: SPACEX IPO PROSPECTUS COULD DROP AS SOON AS NEXT WEEK

CNBC reports SpaceX is planning to publicly disclose its IPO prospectus as soon as next week.

The company confidentially filed in April.

The roadshow is expected to begin June 8.

SpaceX is targeting a historic offering

$ONDS is up 31% today. Here’s my next bet trading at a discount right now:

Most people on X missed $ONDS today.

Not because they didn’t know about it.

Because they SOLD it.

I watched people unload 50% of their position the night before earnings.

Fear of a bad print. Fear of volatility. Fear of being wrong.

And I get it. Protecting capital is wise.

If you genuinely fear the outcome, reducing risk is the right call.

But here’s what I also saw:

The investors who held through horrible $RKLB $NBIS $ONDS $IREN $CIFR chop without flinching?

They all had one thing in common.

They knew exactly what they owned.

They didn’t need the price to tell them if they were right.

They already knew from the filing. From the contract list. From the thesis they built months ago.

That’s the edge nobody talks about.

Not the scanner. Not the chart pattern.

The ability to stay calm when everyone else is making emotional decisions.

That calmness is not personality. It is PREPARATION.

The best investors I’ve met on here have sat through the hardest chops of the past year without panic selling.

Not because they’re fearless.

Because they did the work before the red day came.

Which brings me to my next bet.

I’m long $PENG.

GPU race dominates headlines. Post-purchase deployment does not.

$PENG owns the last mile: full-stack AI infrastructure for enterprises lacking internal teams.

> OriginAI: pre-validated GPU clusters + ICE ClusterWare orchestration, built on 3.3B+ GPU runtime hours.

> 30+ years memory expertise via CXL MemoryAI KV cache server.

> Up to 11TB expandable memory for inference, breaking GPU memory wall.

> End-to-end: hardware, software, memory, deployment, management/turnkey production scaling.

> 8–9 analysts: Strong Buy/Buy > 76%

> FY26 revenue guidance raised to 12% growth.

> Trades 16x forward PE (sector 23x).

> Hyperscaler build-out priced in. Deployment layer underneath is not.

-BP

Not financial advice. Do your own research.

🚨THE BEARS HAVE BEEN WRONG ABOUT THE SAME THING FOR THREE YEARS.

And they’re about to be wrong again.

Morgan Stanley just raised their S&P 500 target to 8,300.

Year-end 2026 target: 8,000.
Twelve-month target: 8,300.

Over 12% upside from current levels around 7,400.

But here’s the line that matters most:

“Our bullish index view is an earnings story, not a multiple expansion one.”

Read that again.

EARNINGS.

> 83.2% of S&P 500 companies beat Q1 estimates.

> Morgan Stanley projects $339 EPS for 2026. That’s 23% growth, followed by $380 in 2027 and $429 in 2028.

A compounding earnings machine. Not a bubble.

Now let me show you what the bears keep getting wrong.

There’s a clip making the rounds right now.

A guy pulls up two charts side by side.

> Left chart: The dot-com era. Price ripping higher. Earnings flatlined. Pure narrative. Pure multiple expansion. Pure speculation.

> Right chart: Right now, 2023-2026. Earnings are LEADING price. AI and semiconductors are driving actual profits. Price is still CATCHING UP to the gray line.

His point? We’re not in a bubble. We’re in the middle of an earnings cycle that hasn’t fully repriced yet.

He’s right.

$MU, $SNDK, SK Hynix and Samsung, 75% of the $DRAM market are proof.

These are companies printing money faster than analysts can revise targets upward.

> The memory supercycle isn’t priced in.

> The AI infrastructure buildout isn’t priced in.

The earnings are real and the multiples are still compressing INTO the growth.

The dot-com bubble was speculation in search of earnings.

This is earnings in search of a price that can catch up.

There’s a massive difference.

So where does the money go?

$SPY and $QQQ as a passive bet + into the infrastructure that’s CAUSING the earnings surge.

Here’s where I’m positioned:

→ $IREN
→ $NBIS
→ $CIFR
→ $AAOI
→ $SIVE
→ $RKLB
→ $OUST
→ $PENG
→ $ONDS
→ $KRKNF

Every single one of these names sits inside the structural AI buildout that’s driving the future earnings Morgan Stanley just upgraded their entire index outlook for.

HERE’S THE MACRO SETUP

Morgan Stanley explicitly ties their revised outlook to AI adoption enhancing operating leverage across the S&P 500 and a rolling earnings recovery that continues to progress.

This isn’t a macro call. This is a capital allocation call.

The earnings cycle is real.
The infrastructure buildout is real.
The defense spending acceleration is real.

$QQQ and $SPY tell you the tide is coming in.

The names above tell you which boats rise the most.

The dot-com bubble was price without earnings.

This is earnings without price.

The gray line hasn’t been touched yet.

We’re mid-cycle. Act accordingly.

Still long. Still adding. Still building.

-BP

Please remember: This is not financial advice. Do your own research. I hold positions in many of the names mentioned.

Micro2Macr0: Why this Is NOTHING Like the Dot-Com Bubble!!! 😡

$NVDA x US x China agreement.

My thesis is; this is probably in exchange for Iran peace.

If I expect market to fly, and my strategy will be to take some profit, before a dip.

Lets go $IREN $NBIS $AAOI $OUST $PENG $CIFR $RKLB

-BP

Not financial advice.

0xNobler: 🚨 BREAKING

🇺🇸🇨🇳 U.S. JUST APPROVED CHINESE COMPANIES TO BUY NVIDIA CHIPS!

INSIDERS REPORT THEY WILL OFFICIALLY LIFT ALL EXPORT RESTRICTIONS, AND TRADING BANS.

CHINA ACCOUNTED FOR 25% OF NVIDIA REVENUE BEFORE THE SANCTIONS.

$NVDA STOCK JUST WENT PARABOLIC ONCE AGAIN!!

PORTFOLIO UPDATE

If you followed me this year, your short-term portfolio is up 125%.

Your long-term book is up 55%.

I don’t use options, calls, leap, short e.g.

The $SPX has spent most of 2026 trying to figure out what it is. We have not.

WHY I SHOW UP EVERY DAY

1st January I had 1,207 followers. Today we are approaching 23,000.

No subscription. No paid community. No X payout. No product. Just showing up every day and doing the work.

I made a pact with my daughter to show up every single day. To show her what consistency actually builds. Not in theory. In real time, with a number she can watch move.

I have a good job. I don’t need to monetize this. What I need is to show her what happens when you commit to something and don’t quit.

By EOY, I want her to see 50K on that number.

I’m still far from it. I also know how FAST that can change when the content connects and the market moves. So I keep going.

@Sandeman52 is someone I think about here. He built something real without noise.

That’s the benchmark. I’m here for the stocks, the connection, and the game.

Everything else is secondary.

LONG-TERM PORTFOLIO

Eight positions. All structural. Sold $AMPX today with 30% profit. Added to my positions in $KRKNF, $OUST and $ONDS

$RKLB: +83% | 18.51% of port.
$NBIS +142% | 17.09% of port.
$IREN +55% | 13.61% of port.
$AAOI +113% | 12.11% of port.
$OUST +39% | 11.60% of port.
$CIFR +42% | 10.41% of port.
$KRKNF -17% | 9.14% of port.
$ONDS -1% | 7.52% of port.

SHORT-TERM PORTFOLIO:

$PENG +10% | 66.1% of port.
$SIVE +98% | 33.9% of port.

HOW I SEE THE REST OF 2026

Three forces are running the tape:

1. The AI tsunami is still in the first inning.

Only 1% of companies consider themselves mature AI users. Over 92% plan to increase AI investment. McKinsey estimates cumulative US data center spending alone will reach $5 trillion by 2030. That capital is already committed. The infrastructure phase is being priced. The productivity phase hasn’t arrived yet. The application phase is after that.

I don’t see a dot-com bubble. The dot-com companies burned cash on speculation. The companies in this cycle have real revenue, real backlog, and real physical constraints that large capital cannot route around.

2. Political trade has replaced free trade.

This is the structural shift most retail investors are still underweighting.
Real technology, real projects, real contracts. Political decision in Washington and repriced overnight. That is the new operating environment.

Capital allocation now has a new first-order variable: political geography. Which government wants this to succeed? The US-UAE AI Acceleration Partnership, $1.4 trillion committed, sovereign wealth choosing the US as the headquarters of the next industrial era, is the clearest current signal.

Political trade creates volatility in names exposed to the wrong jurisdiction. It creates structural advantage for names embedded in the right one.

3. The economy is shifting from consumption-driven to production-driven.

The post-WWII consumer economy ran for 80 years on demand expansion. What is building now is a production expansion cycle, driven by onshoring, defense spending, AI infrastructure, and energy security.

The companies that build, enable, or supply that production cycle are not being valued for what they are today. They are being valued for what the production economy needs them to be in 2028 and beyond.

That is what this portfolio is built on.

MY POSITIONING FROM HERE

I expect more volatile than consensus expects. Full of buying opportunities for anything with hard assets and contracted revenue. Adding on dips. Not selling on headlines.

The three forces above are not quarterly variables. They are decade-long structural shifts. Volatility between now and December is the mechanism that creates the next entry points or DCA opportunities.

YTD +55% long-term. +125% short-term.

And the cycle has barely started.

-BP

Note: This is not financial advice. I hold positions in all tickers mentioned.

PM looks insane! 🤯

Its only a couple of days since I posted my thesis on $PENG and took a position.

$PENG is smashing +20% in PM 🟢 And Wall Street is about to wake up.

Credit for $PENG goes to @pennycheck. Happy to share the ride with other first movers; @FinnStockinger @michaelsikand @CKCapitalxx

Others:

$AAOI above $200 now. 7% up in PM 🟢
$SIVE showing strength with 13% 🟢
$RKLB taking off with 7% 🟢
$NBIS hammering 4% 🟢
$OUST taking on 5% 🟢

I’m working on a extensive portfolio update. Tag along. Follow. Stay tuned.

Onwards,

-BP

Reminder: This is not financial advice.

Black Panther Capital: Wall Street haven’t figured $PENG role out yet.. when they do, it will explode.

Here’s everything you need to know and why $NVDA $AAOI $MU $SNDK will need to rely on them, at one point:

$PENG provides the *end-to-end architecture* required to make components work as a unified

Cathie Wood sold $RKLB overnight.

Here’s why I’m reading this move completely differently from the market.

ARK rotated out of Rocket Lab and into Kratos, Tempus AI, and biotech names.

The stated reason was SpaceX IPO anticipation, Wood said demand is “voracious” and warned the listing could create a major supply-demand imbalance.

That logic makes sense for ARK. They want liquidity to rotate into SpaceX when it lists.

Selling $RKLB to fund that is a reasonable portfolio decision.

It is NOT a statement about Rocket Lab’s fundamentals. And right now, those fundamentals are the BEST they have ever been.

May 7, 2026:

> $RKLB reports Q1 revenue of $200.3M; a 63.5% year-over-year increase. Their largest-ever quarter.

> Backlog surpassed $2B.

> They signed the company’s largest multi-launch contract in history, five Neutron rockets and three Electron rockets for a confidential customer with launches baselined through 2026–2029.

> Craig-Hallum upgraded from Hold to Buy. TD Cowen raised to $120.

> Stifel raised to $110.

> Citizens raised to $95.

> Clear Street raised to $98.

Five separate analyst upgrades or target raises in four days. That’s not a company that is about to be disrupted by a SpaceX IPO.

The logic that SpaceX’s listing hurts Rocket Lab misunderstands the market structure.

SpaceX and Rocket Lab compete in some overlapping areas, but the contracts $RKLB is winning are often specifically because SpaceX is unavailable, too expensive, or too operationally inflexible for the mission profile.

Small dedicated launch; Electron’s market, has no SpaceX alternative.

The SpaceX IPO, when it comes, will raise the profile of the entire commercial space sector.

Rocket Lab benefits from that awareness more than it is threatened by that competition.

ARK’s sale is a liquidity move disguised as a thesis call. The market read it wrong this morning.

I’m STILL long $RKLB. BofA Securities still has a $120 target. The backlog is real. The trajectory is intact.

The people selling today will want this position back at higher prices.

-BP

Please note this is not financial advice.

Paradis Labs: Kinda funny how $RKLB stock is moving up like a rocket after reporting Earnings!

Up 50% in 3 trading days.

Still very impressed by a few of things in particular from their earnings report:

1. huge backlog of 70+ launches
2. Mynaric acquisition de-risking operations