HOW I WILL PLAY THE NEXT MONTHS AND WHAT I EXPECT:

I want to touch on 5 important things:

1. First, I’m sad to see the lunch of $ASTS fail. I sold a while ago. “$Execution delays is a risks. Sold and took profit recently.”

Still saddens me to see.

2. I see a lot of new concerns on US/Iran. Here’s my take and how I will play it:

Overall I believe we have see the worst. I could be wrong. But usually when ceasefire and ‘talks’ have been somehow ongoing it’s very rare a full blown war will continue.

I expect some volatility short-term. I’ll be DCA’en through if it plays out.

Long-term I have NO concerns. US are on their way to a ‘goldilocks’ era. So many investments are being made INTO US.

I expect inflation to rise short-term. Fall afterwards towards the goldilock-era for US where AI infrastructure will play out and dominate.

Lastly. I see some concerns about ‘oh, but $SPY $SPX $QQQ are all back to ATH and topping.

Yes. But MAG7 is not topping. $NVDA $GOOG $AMZN are close to touching Octobers high. But recently. $MSFT $AAPL $TSLA are far from it.

Meaning the ‘top’ is not driven by small cap or MAG7.

But the middle-layer of $SPYx / SP500.

I’m not concerned. But expect more of a rotation to continue into risk-on - when US/Iran clears.

3. A couple of hours ago I released a FREE NEW extensive deep dive on $OUST. You should go read it.

4. I’m considering creating a FREE group-chat here on X. A community.

What I expect of the group:

This is not a buy/sell signal group.

But a group to connect with like-minded. Analyzing the market, sharing ideas, research, insights, learnings and Go deep on finding gems together.

There’s limited spots.

If you want to join. Comment: “YES.”

And just to be clear: I dont have a course or offer no paid services.

5. Based on 2) - I’ll sit tight in my long-term high conviction plays with ease and peace. Add on dips. Pure DCA.

Meanwhile I’ll soon open up my short-term account again and begin some short-term swing trades in the timeframe of less than

Black Panther Capital: → PORTFOLIO UPDATE & REFLECTIONS:

Here’s what have changed:

I used the recent volatility to take some profit and consolidate around my highest conviction names.

LONG-TERM PORTFOLIO:
$IREN – 24.2%
$CIFR – 22.2%
$TE – 16.2%
$ONDS – 14.1%
$RKLB – 14.1%
$OSS – 9.1%

SHORT-TERM

#OSS 執行長 Mike Knowles：
“我們正在拓展與領先國防承包商的合作關係，將早期研發的成功轉化為多年生產、維護和技術更新的機會。”
“我們也在推進美國陸軍平台的下一代感測器處理和視覺系統，我們相信這些項目具有高價值和潛在的變革意義。”
——致股東信，2026 年

TopSecretStocks 🤫: $OSS CEO Mike Knowles:

"We are expanding relationships with leading defense contractors where early development success is scaling into multiyear production, sustainment, and tech refresh opportunities"

"We are also advancing next-generation sensor processing and vision systems

20,000 followers.

i'll be honest. mixed feelings.

not because i'm not grateful. i am. but because i'm also tired.

tracking markets, a portfolio, a career, a family, two kids in school, sickness in the house, and showing up here every single day.

in the hard weeks, i do what makes sense. i cut the noise. i keep only what compounds — love, depth with my kids, real wealth. the things that actually build.

right now, 𝕏 is only generating followers. i want to be honest about that.

this page started as a pact with my daughter to show her what's possible when you're consistent.

post every single day for one year. see where you land.

we're 106 days in. 259 days left. i haven't missed a single one.

i won't.

she doesn't fully understand what her dad is building yet. but she will. and i want to show her something real when she does. 50k by year end would be a pretty cool thing to point to. we'll see.

lately i've been posting but pulling back on comments and real conversations.

i want to pick that up again. that part matters to me.

because here's what i want this space to actually be.

not just signals. not just tickers. not another account firing charts at you every morning.

i want this to be a space where you grow. your portfolio, yes. but also your thinking, your mindset, your relationship with money, your sense of what you're building and why.

and that's the thing nobody talks about in this space.

most investing accounts will teach you how to pick a stock. very few will help you build the life the stock is supposed to fund.

what's the point of financial freedom if you're too burned out to enjoy it or can't handle your ego.

what's the point of a portfolio that grows while your relationships shrink. what's the point of retiring early if you've lost yourself somewhere along the way.

i want this space to hold all of it.

the market analysis. the supply chain research. the portfolio thinking. but also the psychology behind why we make bad decisions when we're afraid.

the mindset work that separates the investors who hold through chaos from the ones who sell at the bottom. the life design questions that nobody asks until it's too late; what am i actually building this for, and who do i want to be when i get there.

that's the holistic approach. not stocks and vibes. not therapy and no returns.

both. together. because they were never separate to begin with.

i've coached over 1,400 people. i've sat with executives inside forbes global 2000 companies at the peak of their career who felt completely empty. i've sat with people who had almost nothing financially but knew exactly who they were and what they were building toward.

the ones who built real wealth, the kind that lasts and actually feels like something, understood both sides.

that's what i'm here to build.

i've been in rooms with people who had everything. the money, the title, the house. and they were the loneliest people i've ever met. cracking under the pressure of a life that looked perfect from the outside.

wealth without health is nothing. money without a real foundation is just a number.

at some point this space becomes something you can be part of more deeply. a community, a paid layer, something worth paying for. not yet. but that's where this is going.

why am i doing any of this?

because i'm a father. a husband. a provider.

and if there's a chance, even a small one, that i could build something that sets my wife and kids free, why wouldn't i try?

but let me be clear about what free actually means to me.

it's not the number in the account. it's time with my kids. presence with my wife. a life where the portfolio works so i don't have to choose between showing up at work and showing up at home.

that's the real end goal. not the follower count. not the monetization.

freedom for the people i love most.

i'm building toward that. slowly. on the side. having fun with it.

to the ones who've been here since the early days when this was a few hundred people and i was still figuring it out, you know who you are. thank you. some of those conversations meant more than you know.

going forward you'll see more of that here. the market. the mindset. the life being built alongside it.

dm is always open. thanks for being here.

-BP

$IREN $NBIS $CIFR $AAOI $OUST $OSS $RKLB $AMPX $ONDS $PNG.V $KRKNF

$OSS just dropped their 2026 shareholder letter.

Here’s what matters:

→ Q4 2025: record EPS, record gross margin (58.5%), second-highest quarter of sales ever

→ 2026 guidance: 20–25% revenue growth, 40% gross margins, positive EBITDA

→ Growing backlog, increasing customer-funded development, multi-year program positioning

→ U.S. Navy. U.S. Army. Aerospace primes. Defense contracts stacking up.

Small cap. Big momentum.

-BP

Note: This is NOT financial advice.

My biggest mistakes this year so far;

Not selling $OSS and adding more to my $NBIS position at $85.

Not selling $OSS and adding more to my $AAOI position at $86.

Not selling $OSS and adding more to my $IREN position at $32.

Anyhow, I still like $OSS, I’m down -12%.

But I like money more.

What’s yours biggest mistakes this year?

-BP

Not financial advice.

back at +16% YTD and 90% all time.

here’s the simple rules I follow:

- no leaps.
- no shorts.
- no options.
- no leverage.
- always complete due diligence
- always maintain a clear thesis.
- no stop losses unless, thesis is broken.
- on drawdowns, add to position via dca.
- invest in bottlenecks and infrastructure.
- invest in supply chains and macro trends.
- if macro turns, i take 20% cash position.
- pick stocks solely on future potential.
- i dont let emotions run my portfolio.
- i track how management perform.
- i spread risk, never full port.
- i invest with PATIENCE.
- i invest long-term.

$RKLB, $NBIS, $ONDS, $IREN, $CIFR, $AAOI, $OUST, $OSS, $PNG.V, $AMPX.

-BP.

Please note, this is not financial advice.

Serious wealth comes from concentrated conviction, not from owning everything.

I believe these 8 names have the potential to redefine entire sectors:

$AAOI
$NBIS
$IREN
$AMPX
$ONDS
$OSS
$PNG.V
$RKLB

In a world of noise, concentration is the greatest weapon.

-BP

Please note: This is not financial advice.

The market is telling you the same thing in plain English:

Energy shock risk is easing.

Risk assets are catching a bid.

The second-order winners are not the obvious ones.

AI infra, semis, defense, space, and select industrials still have the strongest structural demand behind them.

The crowd watches the headline.

The smart investors watches the tape.

Long: $AAOI $OSS $IREN $CIFR $NBIS $RKLB $AMPX $ONDS $PNG.V

-BP

Please note: This is not financial advice.

The US and Iran just agreed to a 14-day ceasefire.

Less than 2 hours before Trump’s deadline to destroy Iran’s entire civilian infrastructure.

Here’s what you need to know:

→ Trump threatened to wipe out bridges, power plants, and oil facilities if Iran didn’t comply

→ Pakistan brokered the deal, PM Sharif and Field Marshal Munir pulled this back from the brink

→ Iran agreed to allow “safe passage” through the Strait of Hormuz during the 14-day window

→ Peace talks begin Friday in Islamabad, Vance likely leads the U.S. delegation

→ S&P 500 futures up 2.3%. Oil down 16%. Markets exhaled overnight.

The portfolio felt it immediately:

🟢 Overnight moves:
→ $AAOI +9.51%
→ $CIFR +7.42%
→ $NBIS +7.22%
→ $IREN +7.92%
→ $ONDS +6.09%
→ $OSS +7.61%
→ $RKLB +6.59%
→ $AMPX +7.84%

Everything red during the day. Everything green after hours.

The market knew before the market knew.

Oil was trading near $115/barrel, up from $67 the day before the war began.

With Hormuz reopening, that pressure starts unwinding.

Lower oil = lower inflation = Fed has room to cut.

This changes the short term macro picture overnight.

Literally.

What’s in play right now:

1. A short term brutal rally relief.

2. If deal, I expect market to stabilize more.

3. If no deal, and escalation: I expect brutal volatility and a much bigger dip compared to what we’ve already seen.

-BP

Note: This is NOT financial advice.

I believe the probability is higher that:

$NBIS goes to $300 than stays at $100.
$AAOI goes to $500 than stays at $110.
$RKLB goes to $250 than stays at $65.
$IREN goes to $150 than stays at $35.
$AMPX goes to $75 than stays at $17.
$ONDS goes to $50 than stays at $9.
$CIFR goes to $65 than stays at $14.
$OSS goes to $40 than stays at $8.

We are living in the exponential era.

The doubt is loud. The data is louder.

-BP

Please note: This is NOT financial advice.

I took a new position recently.

Massively undervalued. Overlooked. No analyst coverage.

Zero volatility. No earnings risk.

Insiders have been quietly accumulating past 6 months.

→ Never halted.
→ Never diluted.
→ Warren Buffet took a position also.
→ Never files an 8-K at 4:59pm on a Friday.

With Iran/US tensions escalating, I’m letting the dust settle before redeploying.

Sometimes the best trade is no trade.

The market will still be here next week.

New position: 20% Cash.

Portfolio now consists of:

20% Cash
$OSS
$IREN
$NBIS
$CIFR
$AAOI
$RKLB
$AMPX
$ONDS
$PNG.V

-BP

Note: This is NOT financial advice.

THE AI SUPPLY CHAIN — COMPLETE MAP

I've spent a few hours mapping the entire AI supply chain. Hyperscalers are spending $750 billion. These are the 42 companies building, powering, and deploying AI from start to finish.

Every layer. Every sector.

Bookmark it. Feel free to add companies in the comments.

Layer 1: Chip Equipment (the machines that build the machines):
$ASML
$AMAT
$LRCX
$TSEM

Layer 2: Foundry & Fabrication (where chips are born): $TSM
$GFS
$INTC

Layer 3: GPU / ASIC / CPU (the AI compute engines): $NVDA
$AVGO
$AMD
$MRVL

Layer 4: Memory & HBM (the bandwidth bottleneck): $MU
$WDC

Layer 5: Photonics & Optical Interconnects:
$COHR
$LITE
$AAOI
$POET
$MTSI
$ALMU

Layer 6: Data Center + Space (the physical home of AI):
$IREN
$NBIS
$CIFR
$WULF
$EQIX
$RKLB
$ASTS
$PL

Layer 7: Cybersecurity (every new AI system is a new attack surface):
$CRWD
$PANW
$ZS
$NET
$S
$FTNT

Layer 8: AI Software & Automation (where the ROI shows up):
$PATH
$PLTR
$NOW
$HIMS
$DDOG
$SNOW
$MDB
$SOFI

Layer 9: Defense & End-Use (where AI becomes operational):
$ONDS
$OSS
$RKLB
$AMPX
$LHX
$RTX
$NOC
$PNG.V

Every company on this list has either government budgets, hyperscaler contracts, or can potentially benefit from the AI build it somehow.

Save this. And if you found this valuable, you should follow me.

The market won't be red forever.

-BP

Please note: This is not financial advice.

I hope you were fast enough to trim in pre-market.

🚨Here’s the zones to watch out for.

$OSS → $6.03
$IREN → $33 or $21
$NBIS → $95 or $79
$CIFR → $11.47
$RKLB → $52
$AAOI → $69
$ONDS → $6.33
$AMPX → $13
$PNG.V → $7.38 or $5.78

As the market looks right now, these levels are into play in the first round here.

-BP

Note: This is not financial advice.

Black Panther Capital: Today is a good day for trimming.

The 5-wave cycle is locked in. $SPX is rolling over, and the RSI isn't lying. We’ve seen this movie in 2020 and 2022.

Wave (B): Dead cat bounce to 6,450–6,600 (The trap)
Wave (C): Final flush to the 4,800–5,200 green zone

Hope for a deal, but

Everyone in your feed right now is telling you the market is going to zero.

I’ve seen this movie before. It was 2020. It was 2022. It played in 2023, 2024, and now here we are again in 2026 watching the same script.

Let me show you what actually happens when people listen to that noise.

JP Morgan tracked a $10,000 investment in the S&P 500 from January 2003 to December 2022.

Twenty years. Through the dot-com bust aftermath, the 2008 financial crisis, COVID, rate hikes, inflation, two recessions.

If you stayed fully invested: $64,844.

If you missed the 10 best days: $29,708.

Ten days. Out of 4,900+ trading days. And you’ve already given back more than half your gains.

Miss 20 best days: $17,826.
Miss 30: $11,701.
Miss 40: $8,048.
Miss 50: $5,746.
Miss 60: $4,205.

You started with $10,000. You’re now worth $4,205.

You didn’t just underperform. You LOST money in a twenty-year bull market.

Here’s the part that makes this worse.

7 of the 10 best days happened during bear markets.

In 2020, the second-best day in the entire dataset happened immediately after the second-worst day.

The people who panic-sold on the worst day missed the recovery the next morning.

They saw the crash. They didn’t see the bounce. They locked in the loss and called it smart risk management.

This is exactly what is happening in the current market.

The doom posts are everywhere. Tariff fears, recession calls, Fed uncertainty, geopolitical instability. I’m not dismissing any of it. These are real risks.

But real risks have existed in every single market cycle in recorded history, and the market has recovered from every single one of them.

My portfolio right now holds $RKLB, $IREN, $AAOI, $NBIS, $CIFR, $KRKNF, $OSS, $AMPX, and $ONDS.

All of them are down from their recent highs. All of them are building real businesses with real contracts.

None of the fundamental theses have changed.

$RKLB is winning government launch contracts.

$IREN is scaling AI data center infrastructure.

$AAOI is supplying the transceivers that run the hyperscaler buildout.

$NBIS is placing AI compute at the edge.

$AMPX is delivering battery technology with a military endorsement behind it.

The prices are lower. The businesses are not.

If I sell now to avoid the pain, I need to make two correct decisions: when to get out and when to get back in.

History shows that almost nobody gets both right.

Most people sell near the bottom and buy back in after the recovery has already happened.

They crystallize the loss and miss the gains.

I’m not selling.

The best days are unpredictable. That’s not a motivational poster, it’s a mathematical fact backed by 20 years of S&P 500 data.

The market doesn’t announce when it bottoms. It doesn’t send a notification when the best day of the decade is about to open. It just moves.

The only reliable edge the average investor has is time in the market. Not timing the market. Not reading the macro tea leaves better than a hedge fund with 400 analysts.

Time. Staying in. Letting compounding do what it does.

Zoom out. Your thesis hasn’t changed. The businesses haven’t changed. The trends driving the next decade of growth haven’t changed.

The doom posts will age poorly. They always do.

-BP

Please note: This is not financial advice. Do your own due diligence. This is my personal opinion, strategy and belief. You should under no circumstances replicate it without conducting a professional advisor.

Day 118/365 of The 365-Day Pact

Weekend with the family. Playgrounds. Fresh air. Touch some grass 🌱

The 365-Day Pact:
Start: 1,207 followers
Gain: +18,031 🔥
Total: 19,238
Pact: INTACT

Not going to pretend it’s been easy lately.
Growth has slowed. Some days it feels like you’re shouting into the void. The numbers don’t always move the way you want them to.

But I haven’t missed a single day.

Not one.

That was always the point. Not to go viral. Not to hit a number.

But to show up every day regardless of what the scoreboard says, and prove to my daughter that the pact you make with yourself is the one that matters most.

Almost 20,000 people found something worth staying for.

That’s not nothing.

Still here. Still grinding. See you tomorrow.

I post on X every single day for 365 days to show my daughter that dreams are built from tiny, boring, daily promises kept.

Portfolio: $IREN, $CIFR, $NBIS, $ONDS, $KRKNF, $OSS, $RKLB, $AAOI, $AMPX

Read the origin post:
https://x.com/blackpanthercap/status/2006713041316982791?s=46