There are now only 10 stocks in the S&P 500 yielding 6% or more:

🏥 $DOC Healthpeak Properties — 7.1%
📦 $UPS United Parcel Service — 6.7%
💊 $PFE Pfizer — 6.6%
📦 $AMCR — Amcor — 6.4%
💻 $HPQ HP — 6.4%
🚬 $MO Altria — 6.3%
🏨 $VICI VICI Properties — 6.3%
🥣 $GIS General Mills — 6.3%
🛍️ $BBY Best Buy — 6.1%
🧪 $LYB LyondellBasell — 6.0%

The average S&P 500 dividend yield is now just ~1.1%.

15 Dividend Stocks Yielding Over 4% that have Returned Over 10% YTD:

📡 $VZ Verizon Communications +25.1% YTD
⚡ $EIX Edison International +21.6% YTD
🛢️ $PAA Plains All American Pipeline +18.3% YTD
🔥 $CQP Cheniere Energy Partners +18% YTD
🚬 $MO Altria Group +17.1% YTD
🛢️ $EPD Enterprise Products Partners +16.4% YTD
🛢️ $VNOM Viper Energy +16.2% YTD
⛽ $OKE ONEOK +16% YTD
🏢 $O Realty Income +15.2% YTD
🛍️ $KIM Kimco Realty +14.4% YTD
🛢️ $ET Energy Transfer +13.6% YTD
🥇 $AU AngloGold Ashanti +13.4% YTD
📦 $PSA Public Storage +11.6% YTD
📞 $T AT&T +11.6% YTD
🏢 $WPC W. P. Carey +11.5% YTD

The Iran war has a second supply crisis nobody is pricing.

It’s not oil. It’s food.

$NTR hit a 52-week high this week. $CF is up 77% YTD.

And the trade still has legs, but only if you buy the right name.

Here’s why:

1. Hormuz isn’t just an oil chokepoint

33% of global seaborne fertilizer trade moves through the Strait of Hormuz. Qatar and Iran together export 350,000–400,000 metric tons of urea per month through it.

Unlike oil which has the SPR, bypass pipelines, and IEA release mechanisms there is no strategic fertilizer reserve. When Hormuz closes, the fertilizer market is on its own.

2. First time in history; four supply shocks hitting simultaneously

> Middle East: Hormuz closed, QatarEnergy halted ammonia/urea production March 2

> Russia: Ukrainian drone strikes hitting nitrogen plants + export restrictions

> China: Phosphate export ban extended through August 2026

> Europe: Still running nitrogen at 75% capacity from the gas crisis

The result:

Urea: +77% since December 2025.

Anhydrous ammonia: $850/ton in Iowa on Feb 13 → $1,050/ton today.

North America price index: $810/ton — above the August 2025 peak.

3. The clock is the cruelest part

50% of U.S. nitrogen is applied in spring. Corn Belt planting begins late April. Gulf-to-US Gulf Coast transit = 30 days. Product that should be arriving now already isn’t coming.

25% of American farmers haven’t bought fertilizer yet for this season. At $1,050/ton anhydrous, they’re either paying up, driving prices further, or rotating to soybeans.

A mass corn-to-soybean rotation means lower corn yields, tighter supply, and a secondary food price shock hitting grocery shelves by fall 2026. The chain from Hormuz closing to the cereal aisle is already in motion.

4. The plays and the landmine

$NTR, currently at $83, targets $96–100.
Nutrien produces all three nutrients; potash, nitrogen, phosphate, from North American operations with zero Middle Eastern logistics exposure. Wells Fargo upgraded to Overweight ($100 target) March 13. Jefferies upgraded to Buy ($96 target) same day. Cup-and-handle forming technically. Captures the full margin expansion without the shipping risk. Least DOJ exposure of the group.

$CF, currently at ATH.
The fundamental thesis is completely real. But here’s what the bulls aren’t talking about:

> DOJ antitrust probe opened. CF named directly.

>Senator Hawley sent a 9-page price gouging letter to CF’s CEO demanding document preservation from January 2025 to present.

> CF EVP sold 18,041 shares on March 13. Stock was at an all-time high. DOJ probe already open. Hawley letter already public.

When insiders sell at ATH into a regulatory investigation on national TV, that is not a company where the upside is unlimited from here. The move happened. The risk is asymmetric now.

$MOS, fairly speculative. currently at $31, cheapest at 11x forward PE.

DOJ named too but at a discount to CF. China phosphate ban lifting August is a headwind. High risk, high reward for size.

5. The second-order nobody is modeling yet
If fertilizer application drops more than 10%, agronomists estimate global corn and wheat yields fall 5–8%.

That’s a Q3/Q4 food price shock that isn’t priced into anything right now. ADM, Bunge, ag-tech precision application names are the next layer of this trade.

The full play:

$NTR, cleanest execution, 15–20% potential upside.

$CF real tailwind, real regulatory grenade. Risky play.

$MOS, speculative position only.

The corn goes in the ground in six weeks. The fertilizer isn’t going to get there in time for everyone.

That’s not a thesis. That’s already happening.

Please note; This note financial advice. Commodity markets are volatile. DOJ investigations carry binary outcomes.

$VRT $LITE $COHR $SATS 加入标普500

Evan: JUST IN:

THE S&P 500 $SPY IS REBALANCING

- These stocks are being added to the S&P 500

Vertiv $VRT
Lumentum $LITE
Coherent $COHR
Echostar $SATS

- These stocks are being removed from the S&P 500

Match Group $MTCH
Molina $MOH
Lamb Weston $LW
Paycom $PAYC

RT KaizenInvestor
I have written a full article on the AI chip supply chain.

The supply chain is structured into 4 different phases with 13 layers:

1. Raw Materials: $SHECY, $SUOPY, GlobalWafers, $WAF.DE, $SHWDF, $AXTI, $IQE
2. Manufacturing Equipment: $ASML, $ASM.AS, $AMAT, $LRCX, $KLAC
3. EDA & Core Intellectual Property: $SNPS, $CDNS, $ARM, $RMBS
4. Chip Design: $NVDA, $AMD, $INTC, $QCOM
5. Foundries: $TSM, Samsung Semiconductor, $SMIC
6. Memory and HBM: SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, $MU
7. Packaging and OSAT: ASE Technology, $AMKR, JCET Group
8. Server and Rack Integration: $SMCI, $DELL, $HPE, Foxconn
9. Networking Silicon: $AVGO, $MRVL, $CSCO, $ANET
10. Photonics and Optical Components: Ayar Labs, $ALAB, $CRDO, $COHR, $LITE
11. Power, Thermal management and Grid: $VRT, $MOD, $NVT, $SU.PA, $IREN, $CIFR
12. Hyperscalers: $AMZN, $GOOGL, $MSFT, $META
13. AI Storage, platforms and Data: VAST data, Weka, NetAPP, $PLTR, Blue Yonder, $KXSCF

The article covers it all.

KaizenInvestor: http://x.com/i/article/2029218092270628864

Top fund managers just revealed their new buys for Q4 2025.

Here’s the most interesting moves from the top managers:

Warren Buffett (Berkshire Hathaway)
$NYT 📰 — 0.1%

Stan Druckenmiller (Duquesne)
$XLF 🏦 — 7.1%
$RSP ⚖️ — 5.3%
$EWZ 🇧🇷 — 2.7%
$AA 🏗️ — 1.7%
$ENTG 🧪 — 1.7%

Bill Ackman (Pershing Square)
$META 🤖 — 11.4%

Seth Klarman (Baupost)
$AMZN 📦 — 9.3%
$MOH 🏥 — 2.1%
$AERO ✈️ — 2.0%

Stephen Mandel (Lone Pine)
$ASML 🔬 — 4.8%
$DASH 🚗 — 4.2%
$MDLN 🏥 — 3.6%
$CRS 🏭 — 3.0%

Dan Loeb (Third Point)
$CMG 🌯 — 2.4%
$CEG ⚡ — 2.3%
$BABA 🛍️ — 1.7%

🚨 30+ Charts Dropped for Subs This Weekend! 🚨

Here are the tickers that were analyzed:
$ONDS $IREN $UAMY $MOS $CEG $NVO $EOSE $CIFR $TE $TTD $XYZ $IWM $NOW $ASTS $SMR $INMD $OKLO $UBER $BABA $QQQ $AMZN $TAC $NBIS $ZETA $PLTR $ROKU $SPOT $TSLA $COIN $SOFI $HOOD $MBLY $NAK $PANW $FSLY

Some nice A+ setups heading into this week as well...

First batch of charts just dropped for Subs!

$MOS and $UAMY looking primed 🚀

Chart requests open for Subs 👇

RonnieV: 🚨 CHART DROP INCOMING 🚨

Massive Chart Dump + LIVE Chart Requests all weekend.

Catch the next "Bull Trigger" before the crowd — like we did on $IREN (700% run), $NBIS (300%+), $BITF ($1→$6).

Subscribe NOW before charts hit 👇

RT Patient Investor
Stocks with 20%+ ROIC trading below 20x earnings:

1. Adobe $ADBE:
ROIC: 41%
PE: 12x

2. Lululemon $LULU:
ROIC: 38%
PE: 16x

3. Paycom $PAYC:
ROIC: 22%
PE: 16x

4. Molina $MOH:
ROIC: 21%
PE: 16x

5. DELL $DELL:
ROIC: 26%
PE: 10x

6. Procter & Gamble $PG:
ROIC: 22%
PE: 19x