$BKSY 周线inside week, 日线EMA8上方牛旗盘整中。
TraderGoku: 太空是目前显而易见的领导板块之一：
1. 地缘政治风险推动国防预算大幅提升。
2. SpaceX 潜在 IPO 重塑太空板块估值锚。
3. $IWM 挑战历史新高，为高 beta 资产提供顺风环境。
BIG MONEY is made in big trends.
$RKLB $ASTS $PL $LUNR $RDW $VOYG $BKSY $FLY $KRMN $VSAT $DXYZ $SATS $MDA $SIDU
TraderGoku: 太空是目前显而易见的领导板块之一：
1. 地缘政治风险推动国防预算大幅提升。
2. SpaceX 潜在 IPO 重塑太空板块估值锚。
3. $IWM 挑战历史新高，为高 beta 资产提供顺风环境。
BIG MONEY is made in big trends.
$RKLB $ASTS $PL $LUNR $RDW $VOYG $BKSY $FLY $KRMN $VSAT $DXYZ $SATS $MDA $SIDU
太空是目前显而易见的领导板块之一：
1. 地缘政治风险推动国防预算大幅提升。
2. SpaceX 潜在 IPO 重塑太空板块估值锚。
3. $IWM 挑战历史新高，为高 beta 资产提供顺风环境。
BIG MONEY is made in big trends.
$RKLB $ASTS $PL $LUNR $RDW $VOYG $BKSY $FLY $KRMN $VSAT $DXYZ $SATS $MDA $SIDU $UFO
Department of War CTO: We have the high ground. 🇺🇸 🛰️
1. 地缘政治风险推动国防预算大幅提升。
2. SpaceX 潜在 IPO 重塑太空板块估值锚。
3. $IWM 挑战历史新高，为高 beta 资产提供顺风环境。
BIG MONEY is made in big trends.
$RKLB $ASTS $PL $LUNR $RDW $VOYG $BKSY $FLY $KRMN $VSAT $DXYZ $SATS $MDA $SIDU $UFO
Department of War CTO: We have the high ground. 🇺🇸 🛰️
TRUMP IS OKAY WITH A WEAK DOLLAR.
So, part of the move in precious metals has likely been a rotation, or diversification, by central banks/funds out of the USD.
The $DXY, or dollar index, hit its lowest level this year at $95.80. For context, it was at $109 before Trump came into office. It's now down 11% over the past year.
Why does this matter?
1. When the dollar weakens, U.S. goods become cheaper for foreign buyers. That means more exports, more demand, more jobs which helps big exporters, manufacturers, and multinationals. This is EXACTLY what Trump wants to decrease the trade deficit.
2. When the dollar falls, it takes more dollars to buy the same ounce of a commodity, increasing the value of a hard asset. Investors usually run to gold/silver as a store of value when fiat weakens and boy is fiat USD weakening. Bullish $GLD $SLV.
However, it is not the best for international investors. If you are in Europe, you have been feeling the pain of a weakening dollar:
- You buy a U.S. stock at $100
- EUR/USD = 1.00 → that’s €100
- Stock stays at $100
- USD weakens, EUR/USD = 1.10
- Your $100 is now worth €91
Ultimately, Trump never wanted a strong dollar. He was clear last year that he is okay with it weakening and given the run in Gold/Silver, we may be seeing global investors finally decide to sell off the USD. I don't think he lets it get much lower than $90, but if we continue to see this rotation, it feels like there is a chance it can get below there.
The takeaway is that cash can literally become trash (although I do think it is very valuable to have cash as a position) if the USD keeps weakening and owning hard assets/companies that can produce real earnings is the solution...which means the $7.5T on the sidelines in money markets (which have seen $100B of outflows over the past 2 weeks) may start to rotate into metals, crypto, and stocks...especially if rates come down.
So, part of the move in precious metals has likely been a rotation, or diversification, by central banks/funds out of the USD.
The $DXY, or dollar index, hit its lowest level this year at $95.80. For context, it was at $109 before Trump came into office. It's now down 11% over the past year.
Why does this matter?
1. When the dollar weakens, U.S. goods become cheaper for foreign buyers. That means more exports, more demand, more jobs which helps big exporters, manufacturers, and multinationals. This is EXACTLY what Trump wants to decrease the trade deficit.
2. When the dollar falls, it takes more dollars to buy the same ounce of a commodity, increasing the value of a hard asset. Investors usually run to gold/silver as a store of value when fiat weakens and boy is fiat USD weakening. Bullish $GLD $SLV.
However, it is not the best for international investors. If you are in Europe, you have been feeling the pain of a weakening dollar:
- You buy a U.S. stock at $100
- EUR/USD = 1.00 → that’s €100
- Stock stays at $100
- USD weakens, EUR/USD = 1.10
- Your $100 is now worth €91
Ultimately, Trump never wanted a strong dollar. He was clear last year that he is okay with it weakening and given the run in Gold/Silver, we may be seeing global investors finally decide to sell off the USD. I don't think he lets it get much lower than $90, but if we continue to see this rotation, it feels like there is a chance it can get below there.
The takeaway is that cash can literally become trash (although I do think it is very valuable to have cash as a position) if the USD keeps weakening and owning hard assets/companies that can produce real earnings is the solution...which means the $7.5T on the sidelines in money markets (which have seen $100B of outflows over the past 2 weeks) may start to rotate into metals, crypto, and stocks...especially if rates come down.
Show More