PORTFOLIO UPDATE
If you followed me this year, your short-term portfolio is up 125%.
Your long-term book is up 55%.
I don’t use options, calls, leap, short e.g.
The $SPX has spent most of 2026 trying to figure out what it is. We have not.
WHY I SHOW UP EVERY DAY
1st January I had 1,207 followers. Today we are approaching 23,000.
No subscription. No paid community. No X payout. No product. Just showing up every day and doing the work.
I made a pact with my daughter to show up every single day. To show her what consistency actually builds. Not in theory. In real time, with a number she can watch move.
I have a good job. I don’t need to monetize this. What I need is to show her what happens when you commit to something and don’t quit.
By EOY, I want her to see 50K on that number.
I’m still far from it. I also know how FAST that can change when the content connects and the market moves. So I keep going.
@Sandeman52 is someone I think about here. He built something real without noise.
That’s the benchmark. I’m here for the stocks, the connection, and the game.
Everything else is secondary.
LONG-TERM PORTFOLIO
Eight positions. All structural. Sold $AMPX today with 30% profit. Added to my positions in $KRKNF, $OUST and $ONDS
$RKLB: +83% | 18.51% of port.
$NBIS +142% | 17.09% of port.
$IREN +55% | 13.61% of port.
$AAOI +113% | 12.11% of port.
$OUST +39% | 11.60% of port.
$CIFR +42% | 10.41% of port.
$KRKNF -17% | 9.14% of port.
$ONDS -1% | 7.52% of port.
SHORT-TERM PORTFOLIO:
$PENG +10% | 66.1% of port.
$SIVE +98% | 33.9% of port.
HOW I SEE THE REST OF 2026
Three forces are running the tape:
1. The AI tsunami is still in the first inning.
Only 1% of companies consider themselves mature AI users. Over 92% plan to increase AI investment. McKinsey estimates cumulative US data center spending alone will reach $5 trillion by 2030. That capital is already committed. The infrastructure phase is being priced. The productivity phase hasn’t arrived yet. The application phase is after that.
I don’t see a dot-com bubble. The dot-com companies burned cash on speculation. The companies in this cycle have real revenue, real backlog, and real physical constraints that large capital cannot route around.
2. Political trade has replaced free trade.
This is the structural shift most retail investors are still underweighting.
Real technology, real projects, real contracts. Political decision in Washington and repriced overnight. That is the new operating environment.
Capital allocation now has a new first-order variable: political geography. Which government wants this to succeed? The US-UAE AI Acceleration Partnership, $1.4 trillion committed, sovereign wealth choosing the US as the headquarters of the next industrial era, is the clearest current signal.
Political trade creates volatility in names exposed to the wrong jurisdiction. It creates structural advantage for names embedded in the right one.
3. The economy is shifting from consumption-driven to production-driven.
The post-WWII consumer economy ran for 80 years on demand expansion. What is building now is a production expansion cycle, driven by onshoring, defense spending, AI infrastructure, and energy security.
The companies that build, enable, or supply that production cycle are not being valued for what they are today. They are being valued for what the production economy needs them to be in 2028 and beyond.
That is what this portfolio is built on.
MY POSITIONING FROM HERE
I expect more volatile than consensus expects. Full of buying opportunities for anything with hard assets and contracted revenue. Adding on dips. Not selling on headlines.
The three forces above are not quarterly variables. They are decade-long structural shifts. Volatility between now and December is the mechanism that creates the next entry points or DCA opportunities.
YTD +55% long-term. +125% short-term.
And the cycle has barely started.
-BP
Note: This is not financial advice. I hold positions in all tickers mentioned.
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